Value Map
Suburbs plotted by fundamentals score vs median price. Points below the trendline are priced below what their fundamentals predict — potential arbitrage. Combined with the 5-year fundamentals trajectory to separate emerging opportunities from persistent value traps.
Fundamentals vs Price
Click a dot to exploreYokine
Strong opportunity — Significantly underpriced AND fundamentals improving — gap likely to close.
Score
77
Price
$890k
Model
$1416k
Gap
-37%
Ranked Suburbs
Sorted by signal strength · click a row to see AI insight
How this works:The fundamentals score combines the seven non-price components (bushfire, crime, transit, schools, air quality, demographics, contamination) using the selected weighting profile. A log-linear regression of median price against fundamentals score across all suburbs gives a “model” price. The residual (actual minus model) identifies candidates priced below their fundamentals.
The 5-year fundamentals trajectory (improving / stable / declining / step change) filters opportunities from traps. A negative residual with improving fundamentals is the strongest signal because the gap is likely to close. A negative residual with flat fundamentals may be a value trap — the market may be pricing in factors not captured by the seven components.
Caveats: Residuals identify candidates, not picks. Local factors (commute, suburb culture, school catchments, beach access) may explain the price gap. Suburbs persistently undervalued for 10+ years often stay that way. Not financial or property advice — verify with a licensed professional before acting.
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